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Weather watch: 2-11 Oct 2024

Weather watch: 2-11 Oct 2024

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Note: Prediction periods are not ON-OFF switches. Thus, if some prediction period starts from, let us say, 15 October, it is not that things cannot happen on 13 or 14 October. You may head to the Terminology page to make sure you understand what I mean when I name some particular city or region in these advance weather warning bulletins.

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Astrometeorological predictions for the period 2-11 Oct 2024:

  • It may be abnormally hot in the western half of India and much of Pakistan, and winds may be strong. However, owing to this hot weather, there may be formation of a low-pressure system and a resulting storm/cyclone, which may hit the western or southwestern parts of India or the Sindh region in Pakistan. Damage due to fire incidents (not necessarily nature related) is possible in western India and/or Sindh.
  • Balochistan and parts of Oman Sea and Persian Gulf could see strong rains.
  • The area around Bushehr-Shiraz-Isfahan could see strong rains. Dammam, Bahrain and Qatar fall on the opposite side of the sea in this area. This is normally a quite arid area, so it may simply be more than usual rain.
  • The Caspian sea coast around Baku-Ramsar and nearby Tehran could see a good amount of precipitation.
  • Weather may be somewhat cooler than usual in parts of the Levant and the Red Sea area.
  • Parts of Southeast Asia, in particular Cambodia, Johor, Singapore and Sumatra and the nearby Jakarta-Bandung area, could see very heavy rains.
  • There may be very heavy rain in parts of Japan. The area from Aichi to Chiba prefectures (which includes national capital Tokyo) looks particularly vulnerable on the charts. Toyama and Nagano also look vulnerable.
  • Much of Vietnamese coastline, especially the area around Haiphong, and the nearby Guangxi-Hainan-Maoming area in China, could see strong rains.
  • Yunnan-Laos-eastern Thailand area, too, could see strong rains.
  • Parts of the Western Australia coast could see some precipitation.
  • Strong to very heavy precipitation possible in the Adelaide-Melbourne area and in Tasmania.
  • The eastern coast of Australia, too, especially near Brisbane-Gold Coast, could see much precipitation.
  • Parts of Northern Queensland and Papua New Guinea could receive very heavy rain.
  • Much of New Zealand, especially South Island, could be warmer than usual.
  • There may be quite some rain in Samoa and Cook Islands.
  • There could be plenty of rains or even a storm in the Alboran Sea area or somewhat to its east. Much of Spanish and Algerian coastlines, including the Strait of Gibraltar, fall in this area. Weather could be quite warm and humid overall.
  • The Atlantic coastline of France and Portugal, too, could face strong rains.
  • United Kingdom, too, to be rainy. Ireland, in particular, especially the Dublin-Belfast coastline, could face a strong storm or very heavy precipitation.
  • The Hebrides and the Faroe Islands, too, could experience strong precipitation.
  • The provinces of Newfoundland and Labrador as well as Nova Scotia could see strong precipitation. The same applies to parts of Quebec.
  • The Northeast region of the U.S. and nearby Canadian areas could see strong precipitation and even a storm. The Carolinas, too, could see strong rains.
  • Very strong winds possible in parts of the Midwest region, particularly in Nebraska, the Dakotas and Kansas, and in nearby New Mexico, Colorado, Wyoming and/or Montana. Tornadoes and fall of structures possible. The Rapid City-Casper-Cheyenne-Denver-Albuquerque-Dodge City-Amarillo area looks particularly vulnerable.
  • High winds may also trouble the Colima-Jalisco-Nayarit coastline (Mexico).
  • California and the neighbouring Baja California may see some precipitation, especially by the coast.
  • Hawaii could see strong rains.
  • British Columbia, especially the western portion, may see strong precipitation. The area around Prince Rupert-Ketchikan-Juneau could receive extremely heavy precipitation or a significant storm.

Note: For those who are new, a non-exhaustive list of my successful predictions in the past, including those related to weather, can be found here.

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