Late dry season 2024: Indonesia

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Region in focus: Indonesia

General validity period: end of Jun 2024 to end of Sep 2024

Season published: Northern Hemisphere Summer / Late dry season in Indonesia (end of Jun 2024 to end of Sep 2024)

This post must be read in conjunction with the half-year (Mar 2024-Sep 2024) predictions published here for Indonesia.

Predictions:

• There may be a period with strong winds and storms, which would characterise this season, in some regions (notably East and West Nusa Tenggara, as well as the area around Jakarta). Sea traffic may be particularly affected; there is danger to boats, ships or planes crossing the seas and the people involved with them. There may be deaths as a result.
• More rain than usual. The period between around 20 and 26 Aug 2024 may see an extraordinary amount of precipitation in several regions of the country.
• Parliamentary affairs may see trouble(s), and there may be a break between some alliance among political parties. The focus of the ruling government, too, and of the country's people is here. Some key legislation, too, may see delay or obstruction in getting passed. There may be an adverse vote against the ruling government in the parliament.
• For the above point, a critical time period could be 6 Jul to 4 Aug 2024 and another could be the end of September 2024.
• There may be expansion or starting of some popular movement. The ruling party's power to reduce vis-à-vis people's power. People may be discontented, and even rioting is possible.
• Some prominent person in the ruling class may fall ill or even die.
• The country may see high expenditure during this time. Some kind of financial scandal cannot be ruled out.

For possible critical dates, see the Critical Dates page.

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