India: Monsoon 2026; upheaval begins

In July 2025 and April 2026, I wrote posts highlighting how India, and the wider Indian subcontinent region, is about to undergo a huge period of upheaval, hardships and transformation over the next 7 years. It is important to bear this in mind, as well as the long-term predictions for the country and for its neighbours, as you read the following predictions for Monsoon 2026 period (late June 2026 to late September 2026 period).

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Region in focus: India (state of)

General validity period: late June 2026 to late September 2026 (around 21 Jun 2026 to 23 Sep 2026)

Season of focus: Northern Hemisphere Summer (late Jun 2026 to late Sep 2026)

Date when this prediction is being published: 2 May 2026

PREDICTIONS

• Sharp spells of rain, with some strong storms, cyclones and flooding, likely in some parts of the country. However, rainfall largely may be insufficient in many parts of the world, overall, during this period. Eastern India may suffer a significant shortfall of rain.
• Southeastern India, specifically Andhra-Tamil Nadu coastline, may see strong cyclone or similar storm.
• Saurashtra area may see sharp spell(s) of rain or storm. Kutch-Saurashtra area may see earthquakes, notable incidents causing casualties and/or notable violent incidents.
• Strong earthquake likely in Lhasa-Tawang-Assam-Bangladesh-Tripura area. There could also be seismic political changes in the same area, as well as major incidents of violence or uprising of people.
• Manipur-Nagaland area likely to see strong violence and major disturbances in this period.
• Warlike activities, strong skirmishes or similar hostilities on India's northeastern borders and/or at the Bangladesh border could occur.
• Strong troubles for the ruler of West Bengal and/or strong upsurge of violence and/or people's dissatisfaction in the Bengal region are likely during late July to late August subperiod.
• During late August to late September 2026 subperiod, Kashmir region may see violence and disturbances. Landslides and quakes may also occur in this area during that time.
• Death of soldiers or security forces (police, paramilitary, firefighters, etc.) could occur in notable incidents. This could especially occur at nighttime, by treachery, and/or at sea or in foreign locations. Some of the events could occur in plains and where agriculture is strong (such as plains of Uttar Pradesh or Punjab).
• Strong disturbances to the country's finances, agriculture and businesses suffer, and very strong dissatisfaction among people. Political events cause a strong turbulence in the country: see next point.
• End of the reign of Narendra Modi as India's Prime Minister is highly probable. This most likely occurs during late July to late August 2026. (A highly malefic range is 26-29 July 2026.) This plunges the country into strong political instability and chaos, which lasts till at least mid-2027. Note that I have predicted earlier that there may be fresh general elections in India in 2027: see my analysis of opposition leader Rahul Gandhi's chart, published in August 2025, in which I had first remarked on this.
• In late August or September 2026, tense exchanges or sharp border conflicts with nearby/neighbouring countries could occur. This subperiod may also bring some major transport accident(s). Parliamentary instability is also high in this subperiod, intensifying after mid-September 2026.
• The country is now in an economic ruinous period, lasting at least till early to mid-2030s. The country is now highly likely to see strong chaos, instability, economic precariousness, wars, and changes in borders as well as power structures over the period from now till mid-2047.
• As I have said before, a long era of major changes in leadership positions and the overall company image, prestige and status has started for India's premier business house, Reliance Industries. However, many major changes will come in 2028 and 2029.

For possible critical dates specific to the country, see the Critical Dates page.

Note: Regularly updated lists of some of my successful predictions in the past can be found here. They include Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination and the U.S.-Israel-Iran war's beginning, popular unrest in Iran, Brown University and Bondi Beach mass shootings, India's trade troubles with the U.S. and worsening economy, the Twelve-Day War, the timing of India's missile strikes on Pakistan, the death of Pope Francis, Trump win, Japanese, French, Indonesian, Thai and South Korean politics in the recent past, several elections correctly called (including India's 2024 national elections), and numerous earthquakes, accidents and other disasters (such as the UPS plane crash in Kentucky, the Switzerland, Hong Kong, Dhaka, and Ōita fires, or the Japan, Shigatse, and Kamchatka big earthquakes).

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