Middle East war predictions: 4-12 May 2026; Iran, UAE, Lebanon, Israel look strongly exposed

Kinetic action has resumed on 4 May 2026: that it did stop for even so long was somewhat surprising for me, as I had anticipated a pause only till April 17 or thereabouts. War, however, never paused, with the U.S. illegal blockade in the Gulf of Oman escalating the war significantly.

One of the first strikes on 4 May 2026 was Iranian drones attacking the Fujairah port terminal: this strike happened close to my prediction line for major airstrikes and/or "notable malefic incidents involving water or watercraft," which had been given by me for April 22-May 3 war predictions:

Where could strikes happen from now till May 12? Most of the prediction lines that I am going to publish were already published by me in my accident, incident, and earthquake predictions for the period of April 29 to May 11 here: I am going to republish some of them, redraw some others with different sections for the war, and add some new lines which are more relevant to war actions rather than earthquakes. I had said explicitly in that post: "Violence likely to continue in West Asia, including Iran."

Before I begin, let me remind you my longstanding prediction: that I anticipate a very long, decade-plus war or warlike conditions in this region, and till almost the end of the century in what is today's UAE region, punctuated, of course, by uneasy truces and suspensions, as happens in any long war, that especially is also very asymmetric and often attritional in nature.

Specific predictions related to the war:

Noteworthy malefic incidents, strong ground activity (collapse of buildings and structures, fall of objects to the ground, earthquakes, landslides, etc.) and/or notable accidents are likely near (within 250 km of the line, but mostly much, much closer) the following prediction lines. You may extrapolate all lines further at both their ends; I have looked only at the most relevant sections, but events can occur on extrapolated sections of the lines, too.

Technically speaking, these predictions are for the period of April 29 to May 12, 2026, and I had published some of the prediction lines earlier: but given that I am republishing those line and adding new lines of prediction only now on May 4 (Tehran time 23:20 hours), consider these for May 4 to May 12.

• Straight line running through 30°00′N, 58°43′E (north of Narmashir, Kerman, Iran).

When extended south, the section of the line off Oman looks more incident-prone (this is also the area where U.S. warships are located, blockading the sea):

Interestingly, when extended north, the Turkmenistan-Iran border area (Ashgabat-Mashhad border area, which is also near the Afghanistan border) looks highly malefic. It would be strange to think of any war activities in this area: but it does look very malefic.

• Line between 30°00′N, 59°23′E (north of Rostamabad, Kerman, Iran) and 23°23′N, 55°50′E (west of Al Mazim, Ad Dhahirah Governorate, Oman). Highly malefic line for airstrikes, fires, explosions.

When extended south, the line will pass close to the Shaybah oil-rich area of Saudi Arabia.

• Line between 30°41′N, 52°57′E (near Dalvnazar, Fars, Iran) and 25°00′N, 49°54′E (southeast of Al Hofuf, Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia). The Iranian section of this line looks highly malefic, in particular.

• Straight line running through 32°47′N, 51°06′E (near Varposht, Isfahan, Iran). The prediction section shown in the left picture is a highly malefic section, which goes close by major nuclear facilities areas such as Isfahan and Bushehr. When extended north, the line passes close by Iranian capital Tehran and major bases such as Karaj, Qom and Kashan.

• Line between 35°36′N, 53°31′E (near Semnan, Iran) and 31°23′N, 51°00′E (south of Cheleh Gah, Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari, Iran). This is a highly malefic line, and the wider area around Semnan looks particularly malefic. There could also be strong rainfall incidents near some sections of this line.

When extended south, the Saudi section (between 24°41′N, 47°28′E and 21°00′N, 45°42′E) also looks highly malefic, passing close by capital Riyadh:

• Straight line running through 33°17′N, 46°06′E (near Kani Sakht, Wasit Governorate, Iraq). This is a very highly malefic line, with strong incidents expected.

• Straight line running through 35°00′N, 43°58′E (near Al Hamel, Kirkuk Governorate, Iraq). Highly malefic line for violence, fires, explosions.

• Straight line running through 32°00′N, 36°19′E (northeast of Maghayer Muhanna, Amman Governorate, Jordan). All of Lebanon and most of Israel are well within the prediction range of this line.

• Line between 36°00′N, 36°07′E (near Yayladağı, Hatay, Türkiye) and 32°00′N, 34°03′E (off Ashdod, Israel). All of Lebanon and Israel are well within the prediction range of this line. This is a highly malefic line: conflicts to gain power, criminal incidents, and troubles for those in position of power also likely in some sections of this line.

Note: Regularly updated lists of some of my successful predictions in the past can be found here. They include Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination and the U.S.-Israel-Iran war's beginning date, popular unrest in Iran, Brown University and Bondi Beach mass shootings, India's trade troubles with the U.S. and worsening economy, the Twelve-Day War, the timing of India's missile strikes on Pakistan, the death of Pope Francis, Trump win, Japanese, French, Indonesian, Thai and South Korean politics in the recent past, several elections correctly called, and numerous earthquakes, accidents and other disasters (such as the UPS plane crash in Kentucky, the Switzerland, Hong Kong, Dhaka, and Ōita fires, or the Japan, Shigatse, and Kamchatka big earthquakes).

For more predictions about weather, earthquakes, accidents and specific events in other parts of the world, you may visit Astro Weather Watch.

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